Opportunities and threats for China in the early 21st century

Abstract

It is estimated that if China manages to maintain a growth rate of 7-8% a year, around 2025 will be equal in size to the USA GDP, but per capita income will be 6 times lower than the USA. 
A more pessimistic scenario, taking into account a greater range of threats, assumes that China will outpace the USA in terms of GDP in the mid 21st century^[1].