Page 1 of 8
Journal for Studies in Management and Planning
Available at http://edupediapublications.org/journals/index.php/JSMaP/
e-ISSN: 2395-0463
Volume 02 Issue 3
March 2016
Available online: http://edupediapublications.org/journals/index.php/JSMaP/ P a g e | 89
Credit Risk and Bank Profitability: Evidence from Ghana
Stock Exchange
Richard Takyi Opoku ; Peter Lawer Angmor ; Lawrence Asare Boadi
Department of Banking and Finance Faculty of Accounting and Finance University of Professional
Studies, Accra, Ghana
o.takyi@yahoo.com
Department of Accounting and Finance Faculty of IT Business Ghana Technology University College,
Accra, Ghana
aplawer@yahoo.com
Department of Finance and Accounting ASN Investment Ltd, Accra, Ghana
Correspondence: aplawer@yahoo.com
Abstract
This study analyzed the relationship between
credit risk and profitability of banks on the
Ghana Stock Exchange. A secondary data in
a panel form of seven banks listed on the
Ghana Stock Exchange was examined over a
period of nine years, using a linear multiple
regression model. One key measure of
profitability was analyzed in this study that is
return on equity. The independent variables
included in the regression model were non- performing loan to total loans and advances,
and loans and advances to total deposits,
bank size, leverage and growth. The results
for the study indicate that non-performing
loan to total loans and advances and loans
and advances to total deposits have
significant negative relationship with return
on equity. Furthermore, a negative
insignificant relationship was established
between size and return on equity but
significant positive relationships were found
between growth and leverage and
profitability.
It was recommended that Credit officers
should ensure that customers looking for
loans meet all the necessary requirements
through proper due diligence.
Key words: Credit risk, Profitability, Ghana
Stock Exchange, panel data, regression
1.0 Introduction
Banks are relevant to economic development
through the financial services they provide.
Their intermediation role can be said to be a
catalyst for economic growth. The efficient
and effective performance of the banking
industry over time is an index of financial
stability in any nation. It is believe that the
extent to which a bank extends credit to the
public for productive activities accelerates
the pace of a nation’s economic growth and
its long-term sustainability (Funso et al
2012).
Credit creation is the main income generating
activity for banks, but this activity involves
huge risks to lenders. A bank with high credit
risk has high bankruptcy rate and that puts
depositors in a dangerous state and may even
lead to bad reputation, withdrawal of license
or even the collapse of the bank. However, in
a bid to survive and maintain adequate profit
level in this highly competitive environment,
banks tend to take excessive risks, yet, the
increasing tendency for high risk taking has
resulted in insolvency and failure of a large
number of banks all over the world.
Page 2 of 8
Journal for Studies in Management and Planning
Available at http://edupediapublications.org/journals/index.php/JSMaP/
e-ISSN: 2395-0463
Volume 02 Issue 3
March 2016
Available online: http://edupediapublications.org/journals/index.php/JSMaP/ P a g e | 90
The banking industry in Ghana is no
exception to the issue of loan defaults.
Indeed, a Bank of Ghana study in 2011
clearly established that non-performing loans
ratio which directly affects credit risk
increased from 16.2 percent in 2009 to 17.6
percent in 2010. In spite of that, profitability
in the banking industry still went up over the
same period. On the basis of such revelation
by the central bank’s study, the question that
arises is does credit risk affect the
profitability of banks in the country?
The banking industry in Ghana has
experienced massive growth in the last
decade and that has also increased the level
of credit risk in the sector. Banks in the
country are spending a lot of money in
managing credit risk. However, the effect
that credit risk is having on the profitability
of banks has not been fully explored, hence
the present study.
Although many studies have been done on
credit risk and profitability outside Ghana,
for instance (Franklin, 2012, Funso et al,
2012 and Epure and Lafuente, 2012), not
many studies has been done in Ghana.
Moreover, the few existing studies on Ghana
relied on data that was in existence before the
implementation of the Basel II. For instance
Amidu and Hinson (2006), used data from
1998-2003 whiles Boahene et al (2012) used
data from 2005-2009. However, a lot of
changes have occurred in the Ghanaian
economy since then, issues such as the
commercial production of oil and the
rebasing of the economy have affected the
banking sector. This study therefore has the
main objective to investigate the influence of
credit risk on bank profitability using data
from 2007 to 2014 and focusing on banks
listed on the Ghana Stock Exchange.
As the concept of credit risk management is
gaining roots among the stakeholders of
Ghanaian banks, it is hoped that the findings
of this study will be useful to regulators and
management of banks as it provides evidence
on the relationship between credit risk and
banks’ profitability. This will help them to
come out with relevant policies to protect
banks and their customers in the industry. It
will also help understand why good credit
risk management is vital to the sustainability
of banks, especially emerging banks that
want to be listed on the Ghana Stock
Exchange (GSE).
2.0 Literature Review
Epure and Lafuente (2012) examined banks’
performance in the presence of risk for Costa- Rican banking industry during 1998-2007.
The results showed that performance
improvements follow regulatory changes,
risk explains differences in banks and non- performing loans negatively affect efficiency
and return on assets while the capital
adequacy ratio has a positive impact on the
net interest margin.
Also, Benedikt et al (2007) examined credit
risk management policies for ten banks in the
united states using a multivariate model and
found that banks that adopt advanced credit
risk management techniques (proxies by the
issuance of at least one collateralized loan
obligation) experience a permanent increase
in their target loan level of around 50%.
Partial adjustment to this target, however,
means that the impact on actual loan levels is
spread over several years. The findings
confirm the general efficiency- enhancing
implications of new risk management
techniques in a world with frictions
suggested in the theoretical literature.
An earlier study conducted by Macaulay
(1988) in the United States found that credit
risk management is the best practice in the
bank and above 90% of the banks in the
Page 3 of 8
Journal for Studies in Management and Planning
Available at http://edupediapublications.org/journals/index.php/JSMaP/
e-ISSN: 2395-0463
Volume 02 Issue 3
March 2016
Available online: http://edupediapublications.org/journals/index.php/JSMaP/ P a g e | 91
country have adopted the best practice.
Inadequate credit policies are still the main
source of serious problem in the banking
industry and as result; effective credit risk
management has gained an increased focus in
recent years. The main role of an effective
credit risk management policy must be to
maximize a bank’s risk adjusted rate of return
by maintaining credit exposure within
acceptable limits. Moreover, banks need to
manage credit risk in the entire portfolio as
well as the risk in individual credits
transactions.
It is believed that private Banks are more
serious to implement effective credit risk
management practice than state owned
banks. A study conducted by Kuo and Enders
(2004) of credit risk management policies for
state banks in China and found mushrooming
of the financial market; the state owned
commercial banks in China are faced with the
unprecedented challenges and tough for them
to compete with foreign bank unless they
make some thoughtful change. In this
thoughtful change, the reform of credit risk
management is a major step that determines
whether the state owned commercial banks in
China would survive the challenges or not.
In another study, Kargi (2011) evaluated the
impact of credit risk on the profitability of
Nigerian banks. Financial ratios as measures
of banks’ performance and credit risk were
collected from the annual reports and
accounts of sampled banks from 2004-2008
and analyzed using descriptive, correlation
and regression techniques. The findings
revealed that credit risk management has a
significant impact on the profitability of
Nigerian banks. It concluded that banks’
profitability is inversely influenced by the
levels of loans and advances, non-performing
loans and deposits thereby exposing them to
great risk of illiquidity and distress.
In a related study, Kithinji (2010) assessed
the effect of credit risk management on the
profitability of commercial banks in Kenya.
Data on the amount of credit, level of non- performing loans and profits were collected
for the period 2004 to 2008. The findings
revealed that the bulk of the profits of
commercial banks are not influenced by the
amount of credit and non-performing loans,
therefore suggesting that, variables other than
credit and non-performing loans impact on
profits.
In Ghana, Amidu and Hinson (2006)
examined how credit risk affects a bank’s
capital structure, profitability and lending
decisions of banks in Ghana. The study
employed panel regression analysis to
investigate the relationship between credit
risk exposure and bank capital structure,
profitability and lending decisions. The
results indicate that less than 1% of Ghanaian
banks are exposed to credit risk, and that
more than 86% of their assets are financed by
debts. The banks’ average lending rate is
around 28%. The results also showed that
capital structure (equity to total assets) of
banks is positively related to banks’ credit
risk, profitability and risk and negatively
related to banks’ size, liquid assets and
lending.
Similarly, Boahene et al (2012) conducted a
study on credit risk and profitability of
selected banks in ghana and concluded that,
credit risk (non-performing loan rate, net
charge-off rate, and the pre-provision profit
as a percentage of net total loans and
advances) has a positive and significant
relationship with bank Profitability.
However, it must be indicated that data for
the above studies were there before the
implementation of the Basel II in the country.
Moreover, a lot of changes have occurred in
the Ghanaian economy since 2010. The
present study is therefore necessary to assess
